This multi-centre prospective study of was of 5628 healthy women in their first pregnancy recruited from Australia, New Zealand, UK and Ireland.
The authors attempted to identify at 15 and 20 weeks gestation variables that were associated with a uncomplicated pregnancy, and to highlight those factors amenable to modification before pregnancy. Thus allowing interventions to be made which may increase the likelihood of a healthy pregnancy.
Firstly, 2/3 of the women had an uncomplicated pregnancy delivering after 37 weeks a healthy baby.
Beneficial factors identified were
- pre-pregnancy fruit intake at least three times daily (relative risk of an uncomplicated pregnancy = 1.09, 5% confidence intervals 1.01 to 1.18)
- being in paid employment at 15 weeks (per eight hours’ increase 1.02, 1.01 to 1.04)
Admitted these numbers are not massive, eating fruiting may give you an almost 10% chance of having an uncomplicated pregnancy.
Some of the potentially modifiable variables identified are already known to contribute to poor outcome on a pregnancy. These included,
- body mass index over 30 kg/m2 (relative risk of an uncomplicated pregnancy = 0.74, 95% confidence intervals 0.65 to 0.84
- misuse of drugs (including binge drinking) in the first trimester (0.90, 0.84 to 0.97)
- mean diastolic blood pressure (for each 5 mm Hg increase 0.92, 0.91 to 0.94), and mean systolic blood pressure (for each 5 mm Hg increase 0.95, 0.94 to 0.96
Detrimental factors not amenable to alteration were a history of hypertension while using oral contraception, socioeconomic index, family history of any hypertensive complications in pregnancy, vaginal bleeding during pregnancy, and increasing uterine artery resistance index on morphology scan.
Smoking in pregnancy was noted to be a detrimental factor in the initial data but did not remain in their final model. Increased maternal age was not found to be detrimental factor. Despite this, these two factors have been identified in previous studies as detrimental to a pregnancy outcome.
So how does this paper change what I do?
I suspect I am not alone here but as a rural GP, I see few women who come in asking “I would like to get pregnant, how will I ensure I will have a healthy pregnancy and baby?”
Generally by the time I see someone, egg and sperm have already met and a fetus is being nurtured in the womb. However, the results of this study does allow some predictions about outcome and helps select women who I would watch more closely (check PAPP-A and uterine artery dopplers) and possibly refer on for obstetrician’s opinion.
For my pregnant patient with spotting at 8 weeks, who had high blood pressure, smokes tobacco, cannabis mixed with meth, drinks a carton of beer a week and live in house with a dirt floor have no flushing toilet and has never been employed, with a BMI of 40 ….. well I don’t think this study add to my thoughts that this pregnancy is going to be a disaster!